"According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), the number of inter state wars is lower than it has ever been and the number of civil wars has been declining for at least fifteen years."
-Jonathan Power, "The Confidence to Say 'No' to Would-be Warmakers"
Despite all the reports you see on the news everyday, the world has not been having more wars than in the past. Now, there is also the consideration that we are now experiencing a new type of ‘warfare’- random terrorist attacks, but these don't kill nearly as many as when there is a full blown war. At the same time, however, our weapons today can cause much more destruction and result in the loss of many more lives than in the past. So does this mean that although we are having less wars, more people are dying? Most definitely.
Nevertheless, we should recognize the fact that (as the author in the article above points out) there has been a great accomplishment, to have a once-upon-a-time region of warring nations to stabilize. Europe! A great example to the rest of the world. Of course, it still has its issues (eg. separatists groups like ETA in Spain, and the past conflict in Ireland etc.), but we can be pretty sure that Germany and France won't go to war tomorrow. There is time now for the region to heal, to produce several generations who are aware enough of their past and at the same time experience a life of peace and stability. Something that many regions haven’t had the chance to experience for long enough. If you had told any European citizen 100 years ago that a European Union would be created in the near future, he/she would've laughed in your face and probably called you a lunatic.
So why has this progress in the history of humanity been greatly under-appreciated? Why has it not been seen as a stepping stone to further global unification? Or used as an example to other warring nations to help pull them out of their misery? Maybe because, as I have pointed out in several of my postings and as is mentioned in the above article, the realist view has permeated current politics and thus come to justify the high spending on security measures. Cause a sense of paranoia and nations will be more likely to stack up on arms.
Therefore, according to the study, our conundrum may not be that we are producing more conflicts, but rather that we aren't getting rid of the arms that are prolonging conflicts and as a result causing a rising number of casualties. The efforts to solve conflicts are being undermined by the fact that weapons are giving countries a false sense of security. As the advancement in arms technology becomes more sophisticated with biological, chemical and nuclear arms, the accessibility of them has not become any more difficult. That is the scary part. Now we are seeing the interplay between the different countries pointing fingers at each other. Each is playing their part in the blame game and in the meantime the arms collection keeps increasing. For what? Has the lesson not been learned yet?
So, for as much as I appreciate the tad bit of positive news that our current era is not necessarily one of increased warfare; I remain concerned with the prospect that our military power has increased its destructive potential and that practically no restrictive measurements have been put in place.
[Picture taken in Berlin]